Dr. Wolfram Hillsdale Economist Discusses Tax Reform on Renk
I will be interviewing economist Dr. Gary Wolfram today (Wednesday December 13th) at the top of the 10:00 hour. We will be discussing the differences between the House and Senate Tax Reform bills.
Dr. Wolfram is the William E. Simon Professor of Economics at Hillsdale College and President of Hillsdale Policy Group, a consulting firm specializing in taxation and policy analysis. he received his Ph.D. in economics from the University of California at Berkeley.
According to the Tax Foundation, one of the nation’s leading independent tax policy nonprofit research group, the comparison is as follows:
Provision | House Version | Senate Version | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Individual Income Tax Rates and Brackets | Consolidates current seven income tax rates into four, while retaining the top marginal rate of 39.6 percent and including an income recapture provision which phases out the effect of the 12 percent bracket for high earners, sometimes called a “bubble rate” Single Filer Rate Schedule
| Retains seven brackets while reducing rates, bringing the top marginal rate to 38.5 percent and avoiding a bubble rate; individual income tax rate changes sunset at the end of 2025 Single Filer Rate Schedule
|
| Standard Deduction | $12,200 for single filers, $18,300 for heads of household, and $24,400 for joint filers, indexed to chained CPI | $12,000 for single filers, $18,000 for heads of household, and $24,000 for joint filers, indexed to chained CPI |
| Child and Family Tax Credits | Increases child tax credit value to $1,600, with the phaseout for joint filers beginning at $230,000, while creating a new $300 per-person family tax credit for those not eligible for the child tax credit, to expire after five years | Increases credit value to $2,000, with the phaseout for joint filers beginning at $500,000; provision sunsets at the end of 2025 |
| Medical Expense Deduction | Repeals | Retains, and for tax years 2017 and 2018, allows it to be taken if eligible expenses exceed 7.5 percent of AGI rather than 10 percent under current law |
| Mortgage Interest Deduction | Limits the mortgage interest deduction to the first $500,000 in principal value | Keeps the mortgage interest deduction for acquisition debt, but eliminates the deduction for equity debt |
| Graduate Student Income | Treats graduate student tuition waivers as taxable income | Not included in Senate version |
| Treatment of Pass-Through Income | Caps the pass-through rate at 25 percent, then setting anti-abuse rules that begin with the rebuttable presumption that 70 percent of pass-through income is wage income (subject to the regular rate schedule), while 30 percent is business income (subject to the lower rate cap), while excluding many professional service companies from the preferential rate | Adopts a 23 percent deduction for pass-through income (limited to 50 percent of wage income) for qualifying businesses, including publicly traded partnerships but with a slightly longer list of ineligible service providers; the provision expires at the end of 2025 |
| Corporate Rate Reduction Timing | Cuts rate to 20 percent, effective tax year 2018 | Cuts rate to 20 percent, delayed to tax year 2019 |
| Capital Investment | Allows full expensing of short-lived capital investment, such as machinery and equipment, for five years; increases the Section 179 small business expensing cap from $500,000 to $5 million, with the phaseout beginning at $20 million, and maintains current depreciation schedules for real property | Allows full expensing of short-lived capital investment, such as machinery and equipment, for five years, then phases out the provision over the subsequent five; raises Section 179 small business expensing cap to $1 million with a phaseout starting at $2.5 million, and shortens the depreciation of real property to 25 years |
| Alternative Minimum Tax | Repeals both the individual and corporate alternative minimum taxes (AMTs) | Retains the corporate AMT in its current form, and retains the individual AMT with higher exemption amounts (about 40 percent higher than current law) |
| Tax Treatment of Interest | Caps net interest deduction at 30 percent of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) | Caps net interest deduction at 30 percent of earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) |
| Net Operating Losses | Eliminates net operating loss (NOL) carrybacks while providing for indefinite net operating loss carryforwards, increased by a factor reflecting inflation and the real return to capital, while restricting the deduction of NOLs to 90 percent of current year taxable income | Eliminates net operating loss carrybacks while limiting NOL carryforwards to 80 percent of taxable income |
| Cash Accounting | Increases small business eligibility for small businesses, from $5 million to $25 million | Increases small business eligibility for small businesses, from $5 million to $15 million |
| Business Credits and Deductions | Eliminates credits for orphan drugs, energy, private activity bonds, rehabilitation, and contributions for capital, among others | Modifies, but does not eliminate, the rehabilitation credit and the orphan drug credit, while also limiting the deduction for FDIC premiums and retaining certain other preferences eliminated in the House version |
| International Income | Moves to a territorial system with base-erosion rules including the inclusion of 50 percent of excess returns by controlled foreign corporations in U.S. shareholders’ income, and an excise tax on payments made to foreign firms unless claimed as effectively connected income | Moves to a territorial system with anti-abuse rules and a base erosion minimum tax of the excess of 10 percent of modified taxable income over an amount equal to regular tax liability |
| Deemed Repatriation | Enacts deemed repatriation of currently deferred foreign profits at a rate of 14 percent for liquid assets and 7 percent for illiquid assets | Enacts deemed repatriation of currently deferred foreign profits at a rate of 14.49 percent for liquid assets and 7.49 percent for illiquid assets |
| Estate Tax | Increases exemption to $10 million, indexed for inflation, with repeal after six years | Doubles the estate tax exemption |
| Individual Mandate Penalty | No change | Reduces the individual mandate penalty to $0 |
What kind of economic activity can we in Michigan can expect from these tax reform bills, well tune into the show to hear what Dr. Wolfram thinks.
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